Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 54% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersija to win ✓75% · @1.01
Double chancePersija or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.88
Persija vs Semen Padang preview and prediction
The match
Semen Padang travel to Jakarta International Stadium in the Liga 1 on Saturday 23 May (10:00 WAT) to face Persija.
Form guide
Persija's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Persik Kediri 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Semen Padang's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Persebaya Surabaya 0–7 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Persija arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for Persija and 0.8 for Semen Padang. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.45 – 54% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Persija 3–0 Semen Padang. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persija75%fair 1.34 · @1.01
Draw14%fair 6.93 · @10.60
Semen Padang11%fair 9.04 · @67.00
3.32Expected goals
2.49Persija xG
0.82Semen Padang xG
54%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Persija 2.5 – 0.8 Semen Padang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persija to win✓
75%
1.34
1.01
Double chance
Persija or draw✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.45 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.28
Half-time result
Persija ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persija / FT Persija✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.88
–
Form
Persija – last 6
WLDLDD
16 May
@ Persik Kediri
3–1
W
10 May
vs Persib Bandung
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Bhayangkara FC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Dewa United
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Pusamania Borneo
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Semen Padang – last 6
LLLLLL
15 May
vs Persebaya Surabaya
0–7
L
8 May
vs Persik Kediri
0–3
L
3 May
@ Dewa United
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Persepam Madura Utd
0–1
L
20 Apr
vs Persijap
0–2
L
12 Apr
@ Persis Solo
1–2
L
0.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persija and Semen Padang.
What is the prediction for Persija vs Semen Padang?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Persija vs Semen Padang?
On our numbers Persija have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Semen Padang 11%.
How many goals will there be in Persija vs Semen Padang?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persija vs Semen Padang?
Our predicted score is Persija 3–0 Semen Padang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Persija vs Semen Padang?
Persija vs Semen Padang (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Jakarta International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Persis Solo3