Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win ✓62% · @1.68
Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.36
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri preview and prediction
The match
Persik Kediri travel to Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium in the Liga 1 on Saturday 23 May (10:00 WAT) to face Persebaya Surabaya. Persebaya Surabaya are 8th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Persik Kediri sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Persebaya Surabaya's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Semen Padang 7–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Persik Kediri's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Persija 1–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Persebaya Surabaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.9 for Persik Kediri. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Persebaya Surabaya or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 Persik Kediri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persebaya Surabaya62%fair 1.62 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.80
Persik Kediri16%fair 6.13 · @4.20
2.93Expected goals
2.00Persebaya Surabaya xG
0.93Persik Kediri xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 2.0 – 0.9 Persik Kediri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✓
62%
1.62
1.68
Double chance
Persebaya Surabaya or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Persebaya Surabaya ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.36
–
Form
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
WDWWWL
15 May
@ Semen Padang
7–0
W
9 May
@ Persis Solo
0–0
D
2 May
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ Arema FC
4–0
W
23 Apr
@ Malut United
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Persik Kediri – last 6
LWWLLW
16 May
vs Persija
1–3
L
8 May
@ Semen Padang
3–0
W
3 May
vs Arema FC
3–2
W
29 Apr
vs Pusamania Borneo
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ PSM Makassar
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and Persik Kediri.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Persik Kediri 16%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 Persik Kediri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Semen Padang0
Persis Solo3