Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBali United to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 1 sees Bali United take on Bhayangkara FC on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium. Bali United are 3rd with 19 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Bhayangkara FC sit 9th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Bali United's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Pusamania Borneo 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Bhayangkara FC's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Persepam Madura Utd 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Bhayangkara FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Bali United and 1.3 for Bhayangkara FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bali United 47%, draw 20%, Bhayangkara FC 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Bali United 1–1 Bhayangkara FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bali United47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.55
Bhayangkara FC33%fair 3.07 · @3.00
2.94Expected goals
1.64Bali United xG
1.31Bhayangkara FC xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Bali United 1.6 – 1.3 Bhayangkara FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bali United to win✓
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bali United / FT Bali United✓
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Form
Bali United – last 6
LLWWWL
11 May
vs Pusamania Borneo
2–3
L
5 May
@ Persepam Madura Utd
0–2
L
27 Apr
vs PSM Makassar
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ Persita
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Malut United
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ Persib Bandung
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bhayangkara FC – last 6
WLLWWW
11 May
vs Persepam Madura Utd
3–1
W
30 Apr
vs Persib Bandung
2–4
L
22 Apr
@ Persis Solo
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Persija
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Arema FC
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bali United and Bhayangkara FC.
What is the prediction for Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC?
On our numbers Bali United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bhayangkara FC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC?
Our predicted score is Bali United 1–1 Bhayangkara FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC?
Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
