Value bet: Persebaya Surabaya to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersis Solo to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 1 sees Persis Solo take on Persebaya Surabaya on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Manahan Stadium.
Form guide
Persis Solo's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Persija Jakarta 0–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Persebaya Surabaya's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat PSBS Biak Numfor 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Persis Solo and 1.4 for Persebaya Surabaya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Persis Solo 39%, draw 23%, Persebaya Surabaya 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Persebaya Surabaya to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Persis Solo 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persis Solo39%fair 2.58 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Persebaya Surabaya39%fair 2.59 · @3.10
2.81Expected goals
1.41Persis Solo xG
1.40Persebaya Surabaya xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–08%
0–18%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Persis Solo 1.4 – 1.4 Persebaya Surabaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persis Solo to win✗
39%
2.58
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persis Solo / FT Persis Solo✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
8%
11.82
–
Form
Persis Solo – last 6
LWLWDW
27 Apr
@ Persija Jakarta
0–4
L
22 Apr
vs Bhayangkara FC
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Arema FC
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Semen Padang
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ PSM Makassar
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Bali United
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
WWWLWD
2 May
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ Arema FC
4–0
W
23 Apr
@ Malut United
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Persib Bandung
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persis Solo and Persebaya Surabaya.
What is the prediction for Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
On our numbers Persis Solo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Persebaya Surabaya 39%.
How many goals will there be in Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our predicted score is Persis Solo 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Manahan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
