PSM Makassar travel to Stadion Kanjuruhan in the Liga 1 on Saturday 9 May (09:30 WAT) to face Arema FC. Arema FC are 14th with 9 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while PSM Makassar sit 12th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arema FC's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Persik Kediri 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
PSM Makassar's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Bali United 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Arema FC and 1.3 for PSM Makassar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arema FC 41%, draw 23%, PSM Makassar 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Arema FC 1–1 PSM Makassar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arema FC41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.35
PSM Makassar36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
2.73Expected goals
1.42Arema FC xG
1.31PSM Makassar xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Arema FC 1.4 – 1.3 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arema FC to win✓
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arema FC / FT Arema FC✓
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Arema FC – last 6
LLDWWD
3 May
@ Persik Kediri
2–3
L
28 Apr
vs Persebaya Surabaya
0–4
L
24 Apr
@ Persib Bandung
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Persis Solo
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Persita
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Malut United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
PSM Makassar – last 6
LWWDDL
27 Apr
@ Bali United
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs Persik Kediri
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Persis Solo
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Malut United
3–3
D
2 Mar
vs Persita
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arema FC and PSM Makassar.
What is the prediction for Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?
On our numbers Arema FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PSM Makassar 36%.
How many goals will there be in Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?
Our predicted score is Arema FC 1–1 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?
Arema FC vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kanjuruhan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.