Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalut United to win ✓72% · @1.11
Double chanceMalut United or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United preview and prediction
The match
Malut United travel to Stadion Maguwoharjo in the Liga 1 on Tuesday 28 April (13:00 WAT) to face PSBS Biak Numfor.
Form guide
PSBS Biak Numfor's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Pusamania Borneo 1–5 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Malut United's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Persebaya Surabaya 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Malut United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 0.9 for PSBS Biak Numfor and 2.6 for Malut United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: PSBS Biak Numfor 10%, draw 18%, Malut United 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: PSBS Biak Numfor 1–2 Malut United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSBS Biak Numfor10%fair 10.42 · @16.00
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @7.20
Malut United72%fair 1.39 · @1.11
3.56Expected goals
0.94PSBS Biak Numfor xG
2.63Malut United xG
56%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–29%
0–39%
1–38%
0–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: PSBS Biak Numfor 0.9 – 2.6 Malut United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malut United to win✓
72%
1.39
1.11
Double chance
Malut United or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.70
Half-time result
Malut United ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malut United / FT Malut United✗
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
PSBS Biak Numfor – last 6
LLLLLD
11 Apr
@ Pusamania Borneo
1–5
L
6 Apr
@ Bali United
1–6
L
9 Mar
vs Semen Padang
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Persik Kediri
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2–4
L
21 Feb
@ Persis Solo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Malut United – last 6
LLLDDW
23 Apr
vs Persebaya Surabaya
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Bali United
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Dewa United
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Arema FC
1–1
D
7 Mar
vs PSM Makassar
3–3
D
3 Mar
@ Persepam Madura Utd
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSBS Biak Numfor and Malut United.
What is the prediction for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?
On our numbers PSBS Biak Numfor have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Malut United 72%.
How many goals will there be in PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?
Our predicted score is PSBS Biak Numfor 1–2 Malut United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United (Liga 1) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Maguwoharjo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
