Value bet: PSM Makassar to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPSM Makassar to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.38
PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 1 sees PSM Makassar take on Persik Kediri on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Gelora BJ Habibie. PSM Makassar are 12th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Persik Kediri sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
PSM Makassar's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat PSIM Yogyakarta 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Persik Kediri's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Persita 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for PSM Makassar and 0.9 for Persik Kediri. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: PSM Makassar to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: PSM Makassar 1–1 Persik Kediri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSM Makassar59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.35
Persik Kediri22%fair 4.63 · @3.50
2.69Expected goals
1.76PSM Makassar xG
0.93Persik Kediri xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: PSM Makassar 1.8 – 0.9 Persik Kediri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSM Makassar to win✓
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSM Makassar / FT PSM Makassar✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.38
–
Form
PSM Makassar – last 6
WDDLLL
10 Apr
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Persis Solo
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Malut United
3–3
D
2 Mar
vs Persita
2–4
L
25 Feb
@ Persebaya Surabaya
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Persija
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Persik Kediri – last 6
WLDLWL
19 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Persepam Madura Utd
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Persijap
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Persib Bandung
0–3
L
5 Mar
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Persis Solo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSM Makassar and Persik Kediri.
What is the prediction for PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri?
On our numbers PSM Makassar have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Persik Kediri 22%.
How many goals will there be in PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri?
Our predicted score is PSM Makassar 1–1 Persik Kediri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri?
PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri (Liga 1) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora BJ Habibie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
