Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction & analysis
70%
Footrivo pick
Persija to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.45
7/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersija to win70% · @1.45
Double chancePersija or draw91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–014% · fair 7.01
Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya preview and prediction
The match
Persija host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Jakarta International Stadium. Persija are 1st with 21 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Persebaya Surabaya sit 8th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Persija's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Bhayangkara FC 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Persebaya Surabaya's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Persita 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Persija and 0.6 for Persebaya Surabaya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Persija to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Persija 2–0 Persebaya Surabaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persija70%fair 1.42 · @1.45
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.90
Persebaya Surabaya9%fair 10.98 · @6.40
2.73Expected goals
2.09Persija xG
0.64Persebaya Surabaya xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Persija 2.1 – 0.6 Persebaya Surabaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persija to win
70%
1.42
1.45
Double chance
Persija or draw
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Persija ahead at half-time
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persija / FT Persija
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
14%
7.01
–
Form
Persija – last 6
LDDWWW
5 Apr
@ Bhayangkara FC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Dewa United
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Pusamania Borneo
2–2
D
24 Feb
@ Malut United
3–2
W
20 Feb
vs PSM Makassar
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Bali United
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Persebaya Surabaya – last 4
WDWL
4 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Persib Bandung
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs PSM Makassar
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persija and Persebaya Surabaya.
What is the prediction for Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our pick is Persija to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
On our numbers Persija have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Persebaya Surabaya 9%.
How many goals will there be in Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our predicted score is Persija 2–0 Persebaya Surabaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Jakarta International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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