Value bet: Persik Kediri to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersepam Madura Utd to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Persepam Madura Utd vs Persik Kediri preview and prediction
The match
Persik Kediri travel to Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium in the Liga 1 on Saturday 11 April (09:30 WAT) to face Persepam Madura Utd. Persepam Madura Utd are 4th with 19 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Persik Kediri sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Persepam Madura Utd's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Pusamania Borneo 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Persik Kediri's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Persijap 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Persepam Madura Utd and 1.4 for Persik Kediri. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Persik Kediri to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Persepam Madura Utd 1–1 Persik Kediri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persepam Madura Utd39%fair 2.53 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Persik Kediri38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
2.79Expected goals
1.41Persepam Madura Utd xG
1.37Persik Kediri xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Persepam Madura Utd 1.4 – 1.4 Persik Kediri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persepam Madura Utd to win✓
39%
2.53
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persepam Madura Utd / FT Persepam Madura Utd✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.48
–
Form
Persepam Madura Utd – last 5
LLLDD
5 Apr
vs Pusamania Borneo
1–3
L
3 Mar
vs Malut United
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Persib Bandung
0–5
L
21 Feb
vs Arema FC
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Persis Solo
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Persik Kediri – last 6
DLWLLD
6 Apr
vs Persijap
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Persib Bandung
0–3
L
5 Mar
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Persis Solo
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Bhayangkara FC
3–4
L
13 Feb
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persepam Madura Utd and Persik Kediri.
What is the prediction for Persepam Madura Utd vs Persik Kediri?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs Persik Kediri?
On our numbers Persepam Madura Utd have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Persik Kediri 38%.
How many goals will there be in Persepam Madura Utd vs Persik Kediri?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persepam Madura Utd vs Persik Kediri?
Our predicted score is Persepam Madura Utd 1–1 Persik Kediri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Persepam Madura Utd vs Persik Kediri?
Persepam Madura Utd vs Persik Kediri (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
PSBS Biak Numfor1