Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction & analysis
73%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.27
8/10Rating
1.27Odds
2
Value bet: Persebaya Surabaya to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 9.12
Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya preview and prediction
The match
Persijap host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium. Persijap are 18th with 2 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Persebaya Surabaya sit 8th on 13 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Persijap and 1.5 for Persebaya Surabaya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Persebaya Surabaya to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Persijap 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persijap31%fair 3.28 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.25
Persebaya Surabaya49%fair 2.06 · @2.25
2.62Expected goals
1.11Persijap xG
1.50Persebaya Surabaya xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Persijap 1.1 – 1.5 Persebaya Surabaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win
49%
2.06
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
11%
9.12
–
Form
Persijap – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Malut United
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Persebaya Surabaya – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persijap and Persebaya Surabaya.
What is the prediction for Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya?
On our numbers Persijap have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Persebaya Surabaya 49%.
How many goals will there be in Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our predicted score is Persijap 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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