Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerthyr Town to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Merthyr Town vs Oxford City preview and prediction
The match
Oxford City travel to Penydarren Park in the National League North on Friday 3 April (15:00 WAT) to face Merthyr Town. Merthyr Town are 17th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Oxford City sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Merthyr Town's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Chester 1–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Oxford City's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with Curzon Ashton 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for Merthyr Town and 1.6 for Oxford City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Merthyr Town 42%, draw 21%, Oxford City 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Merthyr Town 2–1 Oxford City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Merthyr Town42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.75
Oxford City37%fair 2.72 · @2.80
3.41Expected goals
1.77Merthyr Town xG
1.64Oxford City xG
68%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%
From our goals model: Merthyr Town 1.8 – 1.6 Oxford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merthyr Town to win✗
42%
2.37
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merthyr Town / FT Merthyr Town✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Form
Merthyr Town – last 3
LWL
10 Mar
vs Chester
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Leamington
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Alfreton Town
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Oxford City – last 3
DDL
10 Mar
@ Curzon Ashton
2–2
D
24 Feb
vs AFC Telford United
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Marine
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merthyr Town and Oxford City.
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town vs Oxford City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs Oxford City?
On our numbers Merthyr Town have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oxford City 37%.
How many goals will there be in Merthyr Town vs Oxford City?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merthyr Town vs Oxford City?
Our predicted score is Merthyr Town 2–1 Oxford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Merthyr Town vs Oxford City?
Merthyr Town vs Oxford City (National League North) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Penydarren Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Leamington1
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