Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Fylde to win ✗65% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Chorley vs AFC Fylde preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Chorley take on AFC Fylde on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Victory Park.
Form guide
Chorley's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Alfreton Town 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AFC Fylde's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Marine 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
AFC Fylde arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for Chorley and 2.1 for AFC Fylde. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chorley 21%, draw 14%, AFC Fylde 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Fylde to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chorley 1–2 AFC Fylde. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chorley21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Draw14%fair 7.29 · @3.70
AFC Fylde65%fair 1.54 · @1.83
3.21Expected goals
1.07Chorley xG
2.14AFC Fylde xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Chorley 1.1 – 2.1 AFC Fylde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Fylde to win✗
65%
1.54
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
AFC Fylde ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Fylde / FT AFC Fylde✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Chorley – last 6
LWDLLD
31 Mar
@ Alfreton Town
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Kidderminster Harriers
2–1
W
10 Mar
vs South Shields
1–1
D
24 Feb
@ Spennymoor Town
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Bedford Town
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ AFC Telford United
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AFC Fylde – last 6
WWWLWW
31 Mar
vs Marine
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Hereford
4–1
W
10 Mar
vs AFC Telford United
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ South Shields
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Macclesfield
4–1
W
21 Feb
@ Buxton
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chorley and AFC Fylde.
Our pick is AFC Fylde to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Chorley vs AFC Fylde?
On our numbers Chorley have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 14% and AFC Fylde 65%.
How many goals will there be in Chorley vs AFC Fylde?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chorley vs AFC Fylde?
Our predicted score is Chorley 1–2 AFC Fylde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Chorley vs AFC Fylde?
Chorley vs AFC Fylde (National League North) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.