Darlington 1883 vs Buxton Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 10 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultDarlington 1883 to win ✗56% · @1.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.26

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Darlington 1883 vs Buxton preview and prediction

The match

The National League North sees Darlington 1883 take on Buxton on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Blackwell Meadows. Darlington 1883 are 22nd with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Buxton sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Darlington 1883's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Macclesfield 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Buxton's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to King's Lynn Town 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.

Darlington 1883 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Darlington 1883 and 1.2 for Buxton. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Darlington 1883 56%, draw 21%, Buxton 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Darlington 1883 to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Darlington 1883 1–1 Buxton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Darlington 188356%fair 1.78 · @1.90

Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.60

Buxton23%fair 4.30 · @3.10

3.19Expected goals

1.99Darlington 1883 xG

1.20Buxton xG

64%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%

2–110%

1–08%

2–08%

3–16%

1–26%

From our goals model: Darlington 1883 2.0 – 1.2 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Darlington 1883 to win ✗	56%	1.78	1.90 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	64%	1.57	1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.63	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	60%	1.67	1.57
Half-time result	Darlington 1883 ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Darlington 1883 / FT Darlington 1883 ✗	35%	2.86	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.22	–

Form

Darlington 1883 – last 4

LWWL

3 Mar	vs Macclesfield	1–2	L
24 Feb	@ Curzon Ashton	2–1	W
21 Feb	@ Spennymoor Town	4–0	W
17 Feb	@ Hereford	0–1	L

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

Buxton – last 3

LLD

24 Feb	vs King's Lynn Town	1–2	L
21 Feb	vs AFC Fylde	0–3	L
17 Feb	@ Southport	0–0	D

0.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

On our numbers Darlington 1883 have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Buxton 23%.

How many goals will there be in Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

Our predicted score is Darlington 1883 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

Darlington 1883 vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Blackwell Meadows.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes