Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Shields to win ✗51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Chorley vs South Shields preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Chorley take on South Shields on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Victory Park. Chorley are 13th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while South Shields sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chorley's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Spennymoor Town 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
South Shields's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat AFC Fylde 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
South Shields arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Chorley and 1.8 for South Shields. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chorley 29%, draw 20%, South Shields 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chorley 1–1 South Shields. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chorley29%fair 3.44 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
South Shields51%fair 1.98 · @2.00
3.03Expected goals
1.26Chorley xG
1.76South Shields xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Chorley 1.3 – 1.8 South Shields expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Shields to win✗
51%
1.98
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Shields / FT South Shields✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.51
–
Form
Chorley – last 3
LLD
24 Feb
@ Spennymoor Town
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Bedford Town
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ AFC Telford United
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
South Shields – last 3
WWD
3 Mar
vs AFC Fylde
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Worksop Town
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs AFC Telford United
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chorley and South Shields.
What is the prediction for Chorley vs South Shields?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chorley vs South Shields?
On our numbers Chorley have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 20% and South Shields 51%.
How many goals will there be in Chorley vs South Shields?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chorley vs South Shields?
Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 South Shields, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chorley vs South Shields?
Chorley vs South Shields (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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