Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerthyr Town to win ✓54% · @1.68
Double chanceMerthyr Town or draw ✓78% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.53
Leamington vs Merthyr Town preview and prediction
The match
Merthyr Town travel to Your Co-op Community Stadium in the National League North on Tuesday 24 February (20:45 WAT) to face Leamington.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.3 for Leamington and 1.8 for Merthyr Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leamington 22%, draw 23%, Merthyr Town 54%.
Safer route: Merthyr Town or draw (78%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Leamington 1–1 Merthyr Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leamington22%fair 4.45 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.70
Merthyr Town54%fair 1.84 · @1.68
3.14Expected goals
1.31Leamington xG
1.83Merthyr Town xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Leamington 1.3 – 1.8 Merthyr Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Leamington
Merthyr Town
Attack vs National League North average
-16%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
+35%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.40
1.68
Our own ratings from every National League North result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merthyr Town to win✓
54%
1.84
1.68
Double chance
Merthyr Town or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merthyr Town / FT Merthyr Town✓
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.53
–
Form
Leamington – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Chester
0–2
L
17 Feb
vs Spennymoor Town
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Merthyr Town – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Alfreton Town
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leamington and Merthyr Town.
What is the prediction for Leamington vs Merthyr Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Leamington vs Merthyr Town?
On our numbers Leamington have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Merthyr Town 54%.
How many goals will there be in Leamington vs Merthyr Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leamington vs Merthyr Town?
Our predicted score is Leamington 1–1 Merthyr Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Leamington vs Merthyr Town?
Leamington vs Merthyr Town (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Your Co-op Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alfreton Town2
Peterborough Sports1
Curzon Ashton1
Kidderminster Harriers4
AFC Fylde4