Hereford host Chester in the National League North on Tuesday 24 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Edgar Street. Hereford are 2nd with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Chester sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Hereford and 1.2 for Chester. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hereford 36%, draw 27%, Chester 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hereford 1–1 Chester. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hereford36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.35
Chester37%fair 2.69 · @2.25
2.63Expected goals
1.45Hereford xG
1.18Chester xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hereford 1.4 – 1.2 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Hereford
Chester
Attack vs National League North average
+13%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
-28%
Our expected goals here
1.34
0.87
Our own ratings from every National League North result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chester to win✗
37%
2.69
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hereford / FT Hereford✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.73
–
Form
Hereford – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Scarborough Athletic
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Darlington 1883
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chester – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Leamington
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hereford and Chester.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hereford vs Chester?
On our numbers Hereford have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chester 37%.
How many goals will there be in Hereford vs Chester?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hereford vs Chester?
Our predicted score is Hereford 1–1 Chester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hereford vs Chester?
Hereford vs Chester (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alfreton Town2
Peterborough Sports1
Curzon Ashton1
Kidderminster Harriers4
Leamington1
AFC Fylde4