Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKidderminster Harriers to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chanceKidderminster Harriers or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.92
Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Kidderminster Harriers take on Alfreton Town on Tuesday 3 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Aggborough Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.8 for Alfreton Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kidderminster Harriers 66%, draw 21%, Alfreton Town 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Kidderminster Harriers 2–0 Alfreton Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kidderminster Harriers66%fair 1.51 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.00
Alfreton Town12%fair 8.03 · @8.00
2.73Expected goals
1.93Kidderminster Harriers xG
0.80Alfreton Town xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kidderminster Harriers 1.9 – 0.8 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Kidderminster Harriers
Alfreton Town
Attack vs National League North average
+24%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.94
0.89
Our own ratings from every National League North result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kidderminster Harriers to win✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Double chance
Kidderminster Harriers or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Kidderminster Harriers ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kidderminster Harriers / FT Kidderminster Harriers✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.92
–
Form
Kidderminster Harriers – last 2
WD
24 Feb
vs Marine
4–0
W
21 Feb
vs Southport
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alfreton Town – last 2
WW
24 Feb
vs Scarborough Athletic
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Merthyr Town
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kidderminster Harriers and Alfreton Town.
What is the prediction for Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town?
On our numbers Kidderminster Harriers have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alfreton Town 12%.
How many goals will there be in Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town?
Our predicted score is Kidderminster Harriers 2–0 Alfreton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town?
Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Aggborough Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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