AFC Telford United vs Leamington prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Telford United to win ✗68% · @1.18
Double chanceAFC Telford United or draw ✗87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.40
AFC Telford United vs Leamington preview and prediction
The match
AFC Telford United host Leamington in the National League North on Tuesday 3 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at New Bucks Head.
Form guide
AFC Telford United's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Oxford City 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Leamington's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Merthyr Town 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
AFC Telford United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for AFC Telford United and 0.9 for Leamington. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Telford United 68%, draw 18%, Leamington 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: AFC Telford United 2–0 Leamington. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Telford United68%fair 1.46 · @1.18
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @5.40
Leamington13%fair 7.62 · @15.00
3.02Expected goals
2.09AFC Telford United xG
0.93Leamington xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: AFC Telford United 2.1 – 0.9 Leamington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
AFC Telford United
Leamington
Attack vs National League North average
-13%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+35%
Our expected goals here
1.93
1.00
Our own ratings from every National League North result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Telford United to win✗
68%
1.46
1.18
Double chance
AFC Telford United or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Half-time result
AFC Telford United ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Telford United / FT AFC Telford United✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.40
–
Form
AFC Telford United – last 3
DDD
24 Feb
@ Oxford City
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ South Shields
2–2
D
17 Feb
vs Chorley
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leamington – last 3
LLL
24 Feb
vs Merthyr Town
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Chester
0–2
L
17 Feb
vs Spennymoor Town
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Telford United and Leamington.
What is the prediction for AFC Telford United vs Leamington?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Leamington?
On our numbers AFC Telford United have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Leamington 13%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Telford United vs Leamington?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Telford United vs Leamington?
Our predicted score is AFC Telford United 2–0 Leamington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is AFC Telford United vs Leamington?
AFC Telford United vs Leamington (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at New Bucks Head.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.