AFC Telford United vs Chorley prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
AFC Telford United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Telford United to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
AFC Telford United vs Chorley preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees AFC Telford United take on Chorley on Tuesday 17 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at New Bucks Head. AFC Telford United are 11th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Chorley sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for AFC Telford United and 1.2 for Chorley. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Telford United 60%, draw 17%, Chorley 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Telford United to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Telford United 2–1 Chorley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Telford United60%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @3.70
Chorley23%fair 4.39 · @3.55
3.22Expected goals
2.07AFC Telford United xG
1.15Chorley xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: AFC Telford United 2.1 – 1.2 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Telford United to win✗
60%
1.65
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Half-time result
AFC Telford United ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Telford United / FT AFC Telford United✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
AFC Telford United
No recent results on record.
Chorley
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Telford United and Chorley.
What is the prediction for AFC Telford United vs Chorley?
Our pick is AFC Telford United to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Chorley?
On our numbers AFC Telford United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Chorley 23%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Telford United vs Chorley?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Telford United vs Chorley?
Our predicted score is AFC Telford United 2–1 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AFC Telford United vs Chorley?
AFC Telford United vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at New Bucks Head.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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