Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.47
Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United preview and prediction
The match
Tonbridge Angels host Ebbsfleet United in the National League South on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Longmead Stadium. Tonbridge Angels are 10th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Ebbsfleet United sit 1st on 35 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Tonbridge Angels's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Weston-super-Mare 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ebbsfleet United's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Maidenhead 3–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Tonbridge Angels arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Tonbridge Angels and 1.9 for Ebbsfleet United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tonbridge Angels 20%, draw 19%, Ebbsfleet United 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Ebbsfleet United to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tonbridge Angels 0–2 Ebbsfleet United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tonbridge Angels20%fair 5.09 · @3.55
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.60
Ebbsfleet United61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
2.75Expected goals
0.90Tonbridge Angels xG
1.85Ebbsfleet United xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Tonbridge Angels 0.9 – 1.9 Ebbsfleet United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebbsfleet United to win✓
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Ebbsfleet United ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.47
–
Form
Tonbridge Angels – last 4
WLWW
17 Mar
@ Weston-super-Mare
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Dover
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Hampton & Richmond
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Chippenham Town
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ebbsfleet United – last 5
WWDLD
17 Mar
@ Maidenhead
3–2
W
10 Mar
@ Eastbourne Borough
3–1
W
24 Feb
@ Horsham
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Chesham United
1–4
L
17 Feb
@ Bath City
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tonbridge Angels and Ebbsfleet United.
What is the prediction for Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?
On our numbers Tonbridge Angels have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ebbsfleet United 61%.
How many goals will there be in Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our predicted score is Tonbridge Angels 0–2 Ebbsfleet United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?
Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United (National League South) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Longmead Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.