Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 3 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✗42% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.47

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United preview and prediction

The match

Hemel Hempstead Town host Chesham United in the National League South on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Focus Community Arena. Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th with 15 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Chesham United sit 21st on 11 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Hemel Hempstead Town's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Weston-super-Mare 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Chesham United's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Enfield Town 4–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.1 for Chesham United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 59%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Hemel Hempstead Town 42%, draw 24%, Chesham United 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Chesham United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Hemel Hempstead Town42%fair 2.40 · @2.25

Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10

Chesham United34%fair 2.94 · @3.00

2.37Expected goals

1.26Hemel Hempstead Town xG

1.11Chesham United xG

59%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.3 – 1.1 Chesham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hemel Hempstead Town to win ✗	42%	2.40	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.71	1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.27	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town ✗	23%	4.36	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	12%	8.47	–

Form

Hemel Hempstead Town – last 5

DWWLL

31 Mar	@ Weston-super-Mare	0–0	D
24 Mar	@ Bath City	3–0	W
10 Mar	vs Chippenham Town	3–2	W
23 Feb	@ Chelmsford City	0–1	L
21 Feb	@ Horsham	0–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

20%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Chesham United – last 6

WLLLLW

31 Mar	@ Enfield Town	4–3	W
24 Mar	vs AFC Hornchurch	1–2	L
17 Mar	vs AFC Totton	1–2	L
3 Mar	@ Worthing	0–2	L
24 Feb	vs Dagenham & Redbridge	0–1	L
21 Feb	vs Ebbsfleet United	4–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chesham United 34%.

How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

Our predicted score is Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Chesham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United (National League South) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Focus Community Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes