Value bet: Hemel Hempstead Town to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✓50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.04
Bath City vs Hemel Hempstead Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Bath City take on Hemel Hempstead Town on Tuesday 24 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Twerton Park.
Form guide
Bath City's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Horsham 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Hemel Hempstead Town's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Chippenham Town 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hemel Hempstead Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Bath City and 1.4 for Hemel Hempstead Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bath City 29%, draw 22%, Hemel Hempstead Town 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Hemel Hempstead Town to win at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bath City 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bath City29%fair 3.51 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Hemel Hempstead Town50%fair 2.02 · @2.15
2.46Expected goals
1.01Bath City xG
1.45Hemel Hempstead Town xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Bath City 1.0 – 1.4 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hemel Hempstead Town to win✓
50%
2.02
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town✓
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.04
–
Form
Bath City – last 6
LLDDLD
17 Mar
@ Horsham
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Farnborough
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Slough Town
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Weston-super-Mare
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Hampton & Richmond
0–4
L
17 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 3
WLL
10 Mar
vs Chippenham Town
3–2
W
23 Feb
@ Chelmsford City
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Horsham
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bath City and Hemel Hempstead Town.
What is the prediction for Bath City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bath City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Bath City have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hemel Hempstead Town 50%.
How many goals will there be in Bath City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bath City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Bath City 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bath City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Bath City vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Twerton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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