Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch preview and prediction
The match
Chesham United host AFC Hornchurch in the National League South on Tuesday 24 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Meadow.
Form guide
Chesham United's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to AFC Totton 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
AFC Hornchurch's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Horsham 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Chesham United and 1.4 for AFC Hornchurch. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chesham United 34%, draw 24%, AFC Hornchurch 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chesham United 1–1 AFC Hornchurch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesham United34%fair 2.92 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
AFC Hornchurch42%fair 2.41 · @2.45
2.73Expected goals
1.29Chesham United xG
1.45AFC Hornchurch xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Chesham United 1.3 – 1.4 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Hornchurch to win✓
42%
2.41
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Hornchurch / FT AFC Hornchurch✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
Chesham United – last 5
LLLWW
17 Mar
vs AFC Totton
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Worthing
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
4–1
W
17 Feb
vs Eastbourne Borough
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
AFC Hornchurch – last 5
WWLLL
10 Mar
@ Horsham
2–0
W
3 Mar
vs Salisbury
1–0
W
24 Feb
@ Dover
1–4
L
21 Feb
@ AFC Totton
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Dorking Wanderers
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and AFC Hornchurch.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AFC Hornchurch 42%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 1–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?
Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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