Double chanceVfL Wolfsburg W or draw ✓86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
VfL Wolfsburg W vs Nürnberg W preview and prediction
The match
The Frauen Bundesliga sees VfL Wolfsburg W take on Nürnberg W on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at AOK Stadion. VfL Wolfsburg W are 2nd with 24 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Nürnberg W sit 12th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
VfL Wolfsburg W's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Bayern Munich W 0–4 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Nürnberg W's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat SGS Essen W 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.8 for VfL Wolfsburg W and 1.2 for Nürnberg W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: VfL Wolfsburg W 71%, draw 15%, Nürnberg W 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: VfL Wolfsburg W 2–1 Nürnberg W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VfL Wolfsburg W71%fair 1.41 · @1.08
Draw15%fair 6.74 · @8.00
Nürnberg W14%fair 6.99 · @18.00
3.94Expected goals
2.76VfL Wolfsburg W xG
1.18Nürnberg W xG
60%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: VfL Wolfsburg W 2.8 – 1.2 Nürnberg W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfL Wolfsburg W to win✓
71%
1.41
1.08
Double chance
VfL Wolfsburg W or draw✓
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.53
Half-time result
VfL Wolfsburg W ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfL Wolfsburg W / FT VfL Wolfsburg W✓
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
VfL Wolfsburg W – last 6
LWLDLD
14 May
vs Bayern Munich W
0–4
L
9 May
@ SC Freiburg W
4–2
W
26 Apr
@ Eintracht Frankfurt W
1–3
L
22 Apr
@ Werder Bremen W
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ Lyon W
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Union Berlin W
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nürnberg W – last 6
WLLLLL
8 May
vs SGS Essen W
3–0
W
4 May
@ Eintracht Frankfurt W
1–4
L
24 Apr
vs Hamburger SV W
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Bayern Munich W
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs FC Koln W
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ SC Freiburg W
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfL Wolfsburg W and Nürnberg W.
What is the prediction for VfL Wolfsburg W vs Nürnberg W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win VfL Wolfsburg W vs Nürnberg W?
On our numbers VfL Wolfsburg W have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Nürnberg W 14%.
How many goals will there be in VfL Wolfsburg W vs Nürnberg W?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfL Wolfsburg W vs Nürnberg W?
Our predicted score is VfL Wolfsburg W 2–1 Nürnberg W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is VfL Wolfsburg W vs Nürnberg W?
VfL Wolfsburg W vs Nürnberg W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at AOK Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carl Zeiss Jena W0
SGS Essen W1