Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayern Munich W to win ✓77% · @1.07
Double chanceBayern Munich W or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W preview and prediction
The match
The Frauen Bundesliga sees Hamburger SV W take on Bayern Munich W on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Volksparkstadion. Hamburger SV W are 13th with 6 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Bayern Munich W sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hamburger SV W's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to FC Koln W 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bayern Munich W's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat VfL Wolfsburg W 4–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bayern Munich W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Hamburger SV W 0–3 Bayern Munich W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 0.9 for Hamburger SV W and 2.8 for Bayern Munich W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hamburger SV W 9%, draw 14%, Bayern Munich W 77%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 54% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hamburger SV W 0–3 Bayern Munich W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamburger SV W9%fair 11.00 · @21.00
Draw14%fair 7.17 · @8.60
Bayern Munich W77%fair 1.30 · @1.07
3.76Expected goals
0.91Hamburger SV W xG
2.85Bayern Munich W xG
54%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–29%
0–39%
1–29%
1–38%
0–17%
0–46%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV W 0.9 – 2.8 Bayern Munich W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W?
On our numbers Hamburger SV W have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Bayern Munich W 77%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV W 0–3 Bayern Munich W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W?
Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Volksparkstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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