Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Dynamo to win @ 3.22 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv to win ✗44% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Lokomotiv vs Dynamo preview and prediction
The match
Dynamo travel to RZD Arena in the Premier League on Friday 1 May (17:30 WAT) to face Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv are 15th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Dynamo sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lokomotiv's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Zenit 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Dynamo's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Rubin 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Lokomotiv and 1.4 for Dynamo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv 44%, draw 20%, Dynamo 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.52.
Value angle: Dynamo to win at 3.22 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Lokomotiv 1–1 Dynamo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv44%fair 2.27 · @2.18
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.78
Dynamo36%fair 2.81 · @3.22
3.08Expected goals
1.64Lokomotiv xG
1.44Dynamo xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.6 – 1.4 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✗
44%
2.27
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.52
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Form
Lokomotiv – last 6
DWLWLD
22 Apr
vs Zenit
0–0
D
18 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Akron
5–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rubin
0–3
L
9 Mar
vs Akhmat
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dynamo – last 6
LWDLLW
22 Apr
vs Rubin
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Akron
3–2
W
8 Apr
vs FC Krasnodar
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Zenit
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ CSKA Moscow
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Dynamo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dynamo 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?
Lokomotiv vs Dynamo (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
