Value bet: Zenit to win @ 1.87 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultZenit to win60% · @1.87
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.59
CSKA Moscow vs Zenit preview and prediction
The match
CSKA Moscow host Zenit in the Premier League on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at VEB Arena. CSKA Moscow are 5th with 26 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Zenit sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table).
Form guide
CSKA Moscow's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with FC Rostov 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Zenit's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zenit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for CSKA Moscow and 1.7 for Zenit. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Zenit to win at 1.87 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 0–1 Zenit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Moscow21%fair 4.75 · @4.25
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.78
Zenit60%fair 1.67 · @1.87
2.56Expected goals
0.85CSKA Moscow xG
1.71Zenit xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 0.9 – 1.7 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win
60%
1.67
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.23
1.31 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.74
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.96
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
13%
7.59
–
Form
CSKA Moscow – last 6
DLWWLL
21 Apr
vs FC Rostov
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Krylia Sovetov
5–2
W
4 Apr
@ Akron
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ FC Krasnodar
0–4
L
8 Mar
vs Dynamo
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Zenit – last 6
DWWWWL
22 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Dynamo
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Moscow and Zenit.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Zenit?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Zenit 60%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 0–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Zenit?
CSKA Moscow vs Zenit (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
