Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 4.10 – our chance 33% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Orenburg to win ✓47% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.32
FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod preview and prediction
The match
Nizhny Novgorod travel to Gazovik Stadium in the Premier League on Wednesday 22 April (15:30 WAT) to face FC Orenburg.
Form guide
FC Orenburg's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Lokomotiv 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for FC Orenburg and 1.1 for Nizhny Novgorod. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Orenburg 47%, draw 21%, Nizhny Novgorod 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Nizhny Novgorod to win at 4.10 – 33% on our numbers against 24% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: FC Orenburg 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Orenburg47%fair 2.15 · @1.97
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.55
Nizhny Novgorod33%fair 3.07 · @4.10
2.49Expected goals
1.40FC Orenburg xG
1.10Nizhny Novgorod xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: FC Orenburg 1.4 – 1.1 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Orenburg to win✓
47%
2.15
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.26
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Orenburg / FT FC Orenburg✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.32
–
Form
FC Orenburg – last 6
LLLWLW
18 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Spartak Moscow
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Zenit
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Akron
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 2
LW
5 Apr
vs FC Rostov
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Orenburg and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers FC Orenburg have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nizhny Novgorod 33%.
How many goals will there be in FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is FC Orenburg 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Gazovik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
