Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 3.48 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZenit to win ✗45% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Lokomotiv vs Zenit preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Lokomotiv take on Zenit on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT) at RZD Arena. Lokomotiv are 15th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Zenit sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lokomotiv's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat FC Orenburg 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Zenit's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zenit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Lokomotiv and 1.5 for Zenit. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv 33%, draw 22%, Zenit 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.76.
Value angle: Lokomotiv to win at 3.48 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Lokomotiv 1–1 Zenit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv33%fair 3.04 · @3.48
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.48
Zenit45%fair 2.20 · @2.18
2.75Expected goals
1.24Lokomotiv xG
1.51Zenit xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.2 – 1.5 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✗
45%
2.20
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.76
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.84
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
Lokomotiv – last 6
WLWLDW
18 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Akron
5–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rubin
0–3
L
9 Mar
vs Akhmat
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zenit – last 6
WWWWLW
19 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Dynamo
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Baltika
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Zenit.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zenit 45%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
Lokomotiv vs Zenit (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod1