Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Baltika to win @ 2.44 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika to win ✗48% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Akhmat vs Baltika preview and prediction
The match
Akhmat host Baltika in the Premier League on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Akhmat-Arena. Akhmat are 12th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Baltika sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Akhmat's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Baltika's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Dinamo Makhachkala 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 February 2026, finished Baltika 2–2 Akhmat.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Akhmat and 1.4 for Baltika. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Akhmat 29%, draw 23%, Baltika 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.92.
Value angle: Baltika to win at 2.44 – 48% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Akhmat 1–1 Baltika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akhmat29%fair 3.49 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.16
Baltika48%fair 2.09 · @2.44
2.32Expected goals
0.96Akhmat xG
1.36Baltika xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.0 – 1.4 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Akhmat vs Baltika?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Baltika 48%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs Baltika?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Baltika?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs Baltika?
Akhmat vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
