Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat preview and prediction
The match
Akhmat travel to Lukoil Arena in the Premier League on Sunday 19 April (15:00 WAT) to face Spartak Moscow. Spartak Moscow are 3rd with 29 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Akhmat sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spartak Moscow's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Lokomotiv 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Akhmat's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat FC Rostov 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spartak Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Spartak Moscow and 0.7 for Akhmat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 49%.
Safer route: Spartak Moscow or draw (90%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Spartak Moscow 2–0 Akhmat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Moscow67%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.40
Akhmat10%fair 10.05 · @6.55
2.76Expected goals
2.06Spartak Moscow xG
0.70Akhmat xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.1 – 0.7 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
67%
1.48
1.53
Double chance
Spartak Moscow or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.37
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.46
–
Form
Spartak Moscow – last 6
WWWWLW
5 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ FC Orenburg
2–0
W
18 Mar
vs Dynamo
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Akron
4–3
W
5 Mar
@ Dynamo
2–5
L
2 Mar
@ FC Sochi
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 5
WDDWD
21 Mar
vs FC Rostov
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Akron
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Lokomotiv
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ Baltika
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Moscow and Akhmat.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Akhmat 10%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–0 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
