Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Krasnodar to win61% · @1.56
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.11
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.76
FC Krasnodar vs Baltika preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees FC Krasnodar take on Baltika on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Ozon Arena. FC Krasnodar are 4th with 26 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Baltika sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC Krasnodar's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Dynamo 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Baltika's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Dinamo Makhachkala 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for FC Krasnodar and 0.8 for Baltika. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Krasnodar 61%, draw 20%, Baltika 19%.
Safer route: FC Krasnodar or draw (81%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.11.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.11 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: FC Krasnodar 1–0 Baltika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Krasnodar61%fair 1.63 · @1.56
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.20
Baltika19%fair 5.34 · @6.45
2.42Expected goals
1.67FC Krasnodar xG
0.75Baltika xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 1.7 – 0.8 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win
61%
1.63
1.56
Double chance
FC Krasnodar or draw
81%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.11 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.76
–
Form
FC Krasnodar – last 6
DWWLLW
8 Apr
@ Dynamo
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ FC Sochi
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Rubin
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs FC Rostov
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Baltika – last 6
DLLWDW
5 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Zenit
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Zenit
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–0
W
18 Feb
vs Akhmat
2–2
D
18 Feb
vs Kaisar
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Krasnodar and Baltika.
What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Baltika 19%.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 1–0 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
FC Krasnodar vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
