Value bet: Baltika to win @ 2.26 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika to win ✗50% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.42
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.47
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.45
Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Makhachkala host Baltika in the Premier League on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Anzhi-Arena. Dinamo Makhachkala are 11th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Baltika sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dinamo Makhachkala's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Zenit 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Baltika's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Zenit 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.7 for Dinamo Makhachkala and 1.1 for Baltika. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dinamo Makhachkala 26%, draw 24%, Baltika 50%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.47.
Value angle: Baltika to win at 2.26 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 Baltika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dinamo Makhachkala26%fair 3.88 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.05
Baltika50%fair 1.99 · @2.26
1.83Expected goals
0.69Dinamo Makhachkala xG
1.14Baltika xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–016%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Dinamo Makhachkala 0.7 – 1.1 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika to win✗
50%
1.99
2.26 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.42 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.47
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.74
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.31
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.04
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika / FT Baltika✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.45
–
Form
Dinamo Makhachkala – last 5
LWLWW
18 Mar
@ Zenit
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs FC Orenburg
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ FC Rostov
2–0
W
17 Feb
vs Andijan
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Baltika – last 5
LLWDW
3 Mar
vs Zenit
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Zenit
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–0
W
18 Feb
vs Akhmat
2–2
D
18 Feb
vs Kaisar
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Makhachkala and Baltika.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika?
On our numbers Dinamo Makhachkala have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baltika 50%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika?
Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Anzhi-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod0