FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.14 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Krasnodar to win72% · @1.30
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.14
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.02
FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees FC Krasnodar take on Nizhny Novgorod on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Ozon Arena.
Form guide
FC Krasnodar's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat CSKA Moscow 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for FC Krasnodar and 0.6 for Nizhny Novgorod. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Krasnodar 72%, draw 18%, Nizhny Novgorod 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.14.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.14 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FC Krasnodar 2–0 Nizhny Novgorod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Krasnodar72%fair 1.39 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @5.80
Nizhny Novgorod10%fair 9.84 · @11.00
2.73Expected goals
2.10FC Krasnodar xG
0.63Nizhny Novgorod xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 2.1 – 0.6 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win
72%
1.39
1.30
Double chance
FC Krasnodar or draw
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.98
2.14 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.41
Half-time result
FC Krasnodar ahead at half-time
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.02
–
Form
FC Krasnodar – last 6
WWLLWL
17 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ FC Sochi
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Rubin
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs FC Rostov
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Zenit
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 1
W
15 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Krasnodar and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nizhny Novgorod 10%.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 2–0 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod?
FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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