Value bet: Akhmat to win @ 2.36 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAkhmat to win ✓46% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Akhmat vs FC Rostov preview and prediction
The match
Akhmat host FC Rostov in the Premier League on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 11:45 (WAT) at Akhmat-Arena. Akhmat are 12th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while FC Rostov sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Akhmat's last 4: DDWD Most recently they drew with Akron 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC Rostov's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Makhachkala 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Akhmat arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Akhmat and 1.0 for FC Rostov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Akhmat 46%, draw 22%, FC Rostov 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Akhmat to win at 2.36 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Akhmat 1–1 FC Rostov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akhmat46%fair 2.18 · @2.36
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.25
FC Rostov32%fair 3.17 · @3.30
2.32Expected goals
1.31Akhmat xG
1.02FC Rostov xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.3 – 1.0 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akhmat to win✓
46%
2.18
2.36 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.38 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akhmat / FT Akhmat✓
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Form
Akhmat – last 4
DDWD
15 Mar
@ Akron
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Lokomotiv
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ Baltika
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Rostov – last 4
LLLL
4 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Spartak Moscow
2–5
L
18 Feb
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akhmat and FC Rostov.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Rostov 32%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
Akhmat vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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