Value bet: Krylia Sovetov to win @ 3.54 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓46% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.39
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.60
Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Nizhny Novgorod take on Krylia Sovetov on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Sovcombank Arena.
Form guide
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Nizhny Novgorod and 1.1 for Krylia Sovetov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Krylia Sovetov to win at 3.54 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 Krylia Sovetov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nizhny Novgorod46%fair 2.18 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.20
Krylia Sovetov31%fair 3.24 · @3.54
2.49Expected goals
1.40Nizhny Novgorod xG
1.09Krylia Sovetov xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 1.4 – 1.1 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
46%
2.18
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.39 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.92
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.60
–
Form
Nizhny Novgorod
No recent results on record.
Krylia Sovetov – last 5
WWLLW
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs FC Orenburg
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Dynamo
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Baltika
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Chelyabinsk
3–2
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and Krylia Sovetov.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Krylia Sovetov 31%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov?
Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
