Value bet: Akhmat to win @ 2.47 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAkhmat to win ✗45% · @2.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Akron vs Akhmat preview and prediction
The match
Akhmat travel to Samara Arena in the Premier League on Sunday 15 March (12:00 WAT) to face Akron. Akron are 14th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Akhmat sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Akhmat's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Akron and 1.5 for Akhmat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Akron 33%, draw 22%, Akhmat 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.69.
Value angle: Akhmat to win at 2.47 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Akron 1–1 Akhmat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akron33%fair 2.99 · @2.98
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.40
Akhmat45%fair 2.24 · @2.47
2.69Expected goals
1.23Akron xG
1.47Akhmat xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Akron 1.2 – 1.5 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akhmat to win✗
45%
2.24
2.47 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.69
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.94
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akhmat / FT Akhmat✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Akron – last 2
LL
9 Mar
@ Spartak Moscow
3–4
L
28 Feb
@ FC Orenburg
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 3
DWD
9 Mar
@ Lokomotiv
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ Baltika
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akron and Akhmat.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Akron vs Akhmat?
On our numbers Akron have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Akhmat 45%.
How many goals will there be in Akron vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akron vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is Akron 1–1 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Akron vs Akhmat?
Akron vs Akhmat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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