Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRochdale to win ✗65% · @1.29
Double chanceRochdale or draw ✗83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.99
Rochdale vs Morecambe preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Rochdale take on Morecambe on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Crown Oil Arena.
Form guide
Rochdale's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Scunthorpe 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Morecambe's last 4: LWDW Most recently they lost to Hartlepool 2–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Rochdale and 1.0 for Morecambe. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rochdale 2–1 Morecambe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rochdale65%fair 1.53 · @1.29
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @5.50
Morecambe17%fair 6.04 · @8.50
3.17Expected goals
2.18Rochdale xG
0.99Morecambe xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rochdale 2.2 – 1.0 Morecambe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochdale to win✗
65%
1.53
1.29
Double chance
Rochdale or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Rochdale ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochdale / FT Rochdale✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.99
–
Form
Rochdale – last 6
DLWDWD
25 Mar
@ Scunthorpe
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ Southend
2–3
L
3 Mar
vs Brackley Town
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ FC Halifax Town
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Woking
3–0
W
17 Feb
vs Scunthorpe
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Morecambe – last 4
LWDW
25 Mar
vs Hartlepool
2–3
L
3 Mar
@ Wealdstone
3–2
W
25 Feb
@ Gateshead
4–4
D
21 Feb
vs Eastleigh
4–0
W
3.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Morecambe.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Rochdale vs Morecambe?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Morecambe 17%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Morecambe?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Morecambe?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 2–1 Morecambe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs Morecambe?
Rochdale vs Morecambe (National League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Crown Oil Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aldershot Town2
Sutton Utd2
Altrincham0
FC Halifax Town1
Boreham Wood5
Wealdstone1
Boston United0
York1
Carlisle0
Gateshead0
Forest Green4
Brackley Town0
Scunthorpe0
Hartlepool0
Southend3
Braintree2