Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarlisle to win ✗61% · @1.53
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Carlisle vs Gateshead preview and prediction
The match
Gateshead travel to Brunton Park in the National League on Friday 3 April (15:00 WAT) to face Carlisle. Carlisle are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Gateshead sit 24th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Carlisle's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat FC Halifax Town 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gateshead's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat York 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Carlisle and 1.1 for Gateshead. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Carlisle 2–1 Gateshead. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carlisle61%fair 1.65 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.20
Gateshead19%fair 5.34 · @5.00
3.18Expected goals
2.10Carlisle xG
1.08Gateshead xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Carlisle 2.1 – 1.1 Gateshead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Double chance
Carlisle or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Carlisle ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Carlisle – last 4
WWLW
24 Mar
@ FC Halifax Town
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Aldershot Town
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Hartlepool
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Yeovil Town
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gateshead – last 6
WWDWDW
24 Mar
vs York
3–1
W
17 Mar
vs Wealdstone
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Southend
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Braintree
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Morecambe
4–4
D
17 Feb
@ FC Halifax Town
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Gateshead.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Carlisle vs Gateshead?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gateshead 19%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Gateshead?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Gateshead?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 2–1 Gateshead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Gateshead?
Carlisle vs Gateshead (National League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
York1
Brackley Town0
Rochdale2
Morecambe4
Braintree2