Value bet: Eastleigh to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEastleigh to win ✗42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Morecambe vs Eastleigh preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Morecambe take on Eastleigh on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Mazuma Mobile Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Morecambe and 1.6 for Eastleigh. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Eastleigh to win at 2.65 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Morecambe 1–1 Eastleigh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morecambe35%fair 2.84 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Eastleigh42%fair 2.39 · @2.65
2.99Expected goals
1.42Morecambe xG
1.57Eastleigh xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Morecambe 1.4 – 1.6 Eastleigh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eastleigh to win✗
42%
2.39
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eastleigh / FT Eastleigh✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.36
–
Form
Morecambe
No recent results on record.
Eastleigh
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morecambe and Eastleigh.
What is the prediction for Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
On our numbers Morecambe have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eastleigh 42%.
How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
Our predicted score is Morecambe 1–1 Eastleigh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
Morecambe vs Eastleigh (National League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mazuma Mobile Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.