Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Boston United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoston United to win ✗64% · @1.95
Double chanceBoston United or draw ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.15
Boston United vs Tamworth preview and prediction
The match
Boston United host Tamworth in the National League on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at The Jakemans Community Stadium. Boston United are 19th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Tamworth sit 20th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Boston United and 0.8 for Tamworth. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boston United 64%, draw 20%, Tamworth 17%.
Safer route: Boston United or draw (83%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Boston United to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Boston United or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Boston United 1–0 Tamworth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boston United64%fair 1.57 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.25
Tamworth17%fair 6.04 · @3.25
2.75Expected goals
1.92Boston United xG
0.83Tamworth xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Boston United 1.9 – 0.8 Tamworth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boston United to win✗
64%
1.57
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Boston United or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
Boston United ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boston United / FT Boston United✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.15
–
Form
Boston United
No recent results on record.
Tamworth – last 1
L
17 Feb
vs West Ham United U21
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boston United and Tamworth.
What is the prediction for Boston United vs Tamworth?
Our pick is Boston United or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Boston United vs Tamworth?
On our numbers Boston United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tamworth 17%.
How many goals will there be in Boston United vs Tamworth?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boston United vs Tamworth?
Our predicted score is Boston United 1–0 Tamworth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Boston United vs Tamworth?
Boston United vs Tamworth (National League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Jakemans Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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