Value bet: Truro City to win @ 3.70 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultScunthorpe to win ✓45% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Truro City vs Scunthorpe preview and prediction
The match
Truro City host Scunthorpe in the National League on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Truro Sports Hub.
Form guide
Truro City's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Southend 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Scunthorpe's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Sutton Utd 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Truro City and 1.4 for Scunthorpe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Truro City 29%, draw 26%, Scunthorpe 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Truro City to win at 3.70 – 29% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Truro City 1–1 Scunthorpe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Truro City29%fair 3.48 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.35
Scunthorpe45%fair 2.20 · @1.90
2.82Expected goals
1.46Truro City xG
1.36Scunthorpe xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Truro City 1.5 – 1.4 Scunthorpe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Truro City
Scunthorpe
Attack vs National League average
-19%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.63
1.08
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scunthorpe to win✓
45%
2.20
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Truro City / FT Truro City✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
8%
12.35
–
Form
Truro City – last 3
DLL
3 Mar
@ Southend
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Eastleigh
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Boreham Wood
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Scunthorpe – last 4
LLLD
10 Mar
vs Sutton Utd
1–2
L
24 Feb
vs York
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Aldershot Town
1–3
L
17 Feb
@ Rochdale
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Truro City and Scunthorpe.
What is the prediction for Truro City vs Scunthorpe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Truro City vs Scunthorpe?
On our numbers Truro City have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Scunthorpe 45%.
How many goals will there be in Truro City vs Scunthorpe?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Truro City vs Scunthorpe?
Our predicted score is Truro City 1–1 Scunthorpe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Truro City vs Scunthorpe?
Truro City vs Scunthorpe (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Truro Sports Hub.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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