Rochdale travel to Roots Hall in the National League on Tuesday 17 March (20:45 WAT) to face Southend.
Form guide
Southend's last 4: DDLW Most recently they drew with Gateshead 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Rochdale's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat Brackley Town 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Rochdale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.8 for Southend and 1.4 for Rochdale. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Southend 1–1 Rochdale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southend41%fair 2.43 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Rochdale34%fair 2.94 · @2.55
3.21Expected goals
1.81Southend xG
1.40Rochdale xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Southend 1.8 – 1.4 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Southend
Rochdale
Attack vs National League average
+38%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
+1%
Our expected goals here
2.44
1.60
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✓
41%
2.43
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Southend – last 4
DDLW
10 Mar
vs Gateshead
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Truro City
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Boreham Wood
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Brackley Town
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Rochdale – last 4
WDWD
3 Mar
vs Brackley Town
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ FC Halifax Town
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Woking
3–0
W
17 Feb
vs Scunthorpe
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and Rochdale.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Southend vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Southend have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rochdale 34%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs Rochdale?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southend vs Rochdale?
Our predicted score is Southend 1–1 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Southend vs Rochdale?
Southend vs Rochdale (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Truro City1
Brackley Town1