Value bet: Erzurumspor FK to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees İstanbulspor take on Erzurumspor FK on Thursday 9 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu.
Form guide
İstanbulspor's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Bodrum FK 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Erzurumspor FK's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Esenler Erokspor 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Erzurumspor FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for İstanbulspor and 2.0 for Erzurumspor FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: İstanbulspor 13%, draw 23%, Erzurumspor FK 63%.
Safer route: Erzurumspor FK or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Erzurumspor FK to win at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: İstanbulspor 0–2 Erzurumspor FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
İstanbulspor13%fair 7.59 · @3.90
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.55
Erzurumspor FK63%fair 1.58 · @1.77
2.81Expected goals
0.82İstanbulspor xG
1.99Erzurumspor FK xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: İstanbulspor 0.8 – 2.0 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzurumspor FK to win✓
63%
1.58
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Erzurumspor FK or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Erzurumspor FK ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
İstanbulspor – last 6
LLDLWL
22 Mar
vs Bodrum FK
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Amed
0–4
L
3 Mar
vs Boluspor
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Iğdır FK
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Boluspor
1–0
W
17 Feb
vs Erokspor
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
WWLWWW
22 Mar
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Hatayspor
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ Ümraniyespor
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Manisa F.K.
8–1
W
4 Mar
vs Keçiörengücü
4–2
W
28 Feb
@ Van Spor Kulübü
3–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between İstanbulspor and Erzurumspor FK.
What is the prediction for İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
On our numbers İstanbulspor have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Erzurumspor FK 63%.
How many goals will there be in İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our predicted score is İstanbulspor 0–2 Erzurumspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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