Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Amed to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmed to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Esenler Erokspor vs Amed preview and prediction
The match
Esenler Erokspor host Amed in the 1. Lig on Thursday 9 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Esenler Stadium.
Form guide
Esenler Erokspor's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Sivasspor 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Amed's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Boluspor 6–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Amed arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Esenler Erokspor and 1.6 for Amed. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Value angle: Amed to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Amed. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esenler Erokspor39%fair 2.58 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Amed39%fair 2.57 · @3.00
3.10Expected goals
1.54Esenler Erokspor xG
1.55Amed xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Esenler Erokspor 1.5 – 1.6 Amed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amed to win✗
39%
2.57
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amed / FT Amed✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.90
–
Form
Esenler Erokspor – last 6
WLLDWW
5 Apr
@ Sivasspor
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Erzurumspor FK
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Çorum FK
1–2
L
12 Mar
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Bodrum FK
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amed – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Apr
vs Boluspor
6–1
W
22 Mar
@ Hatayspor
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Manisa F.K.
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ İstanbulspor
4–0
W
23 Feb
vs Van Spor Kulübü
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Sarıyer
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esenler Erokspor and Amed.
What is the prediction for Esenler Erokspor vs Amed?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Amed?
On our numbers Esenler Erokspor have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Amed 39%.
How many goals will there be in Esenler Erokspor vs Amed?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esenler Erokspor vs Amed?
Our predicted score is Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Amed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Esenler Erokspor vs Amed?
Esenler Erokspor vs Amed (1. Lig) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Esenler Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Erzurumspor FK1