Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 59% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmed to win ✓72% · @1.08
Double chanceAmed or draw ✓87% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @2.10
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Hatayspor vs Amed preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Hatayspor take on Amed on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Mersin Stadyumu.
Form guide
Hatayspor's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Erzurumspor FK 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Amed's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Manisa F.K. 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Amed arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.0 for Hatayspor and 2.6 for Amed. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hatayspor 13%, draw 15%, Amed 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 59% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hatayspor 1–2 Amed. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hatayspor13%fair 7.45 · @21.00
Draw15%fair 6.73 · @8.00
Amed72%fair 1.39 · @1.08
3.61Expected goals
1.02Hatayspor xG
2.59Amed xG
59%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Hatayspor 1.0 – 2.6 Amed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amed to win✓
72%
1.39
1.08
Double chance
Amed or draw✓
87%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.65
Half-time result
Amed ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amed / FT Amed✓
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Hatayspor – last 6
LLLLLL
15 Mar
@ Erzurumspor FK
0–3
L
11 Mar
vs Sivasspor
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Bodrum FK
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Bandırmaspor
0–4
L
17 Feb
vs 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ Boluspor
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Amed – last 5
WWWDD
15 Mar
vs Manisa F.K.
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ İstanbulspor
4–0
W
23 Feb
vs Van Spor Kulübü
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Sarıyer
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Sakaryaspor
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hatayspor and Amed.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hatayspor vs Amed?
On our numbers Hatayspor have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Amed 72%.
How many goals will there be in Hatayspor vs Amed?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hatayspor vs Amed?
Our predicted score is Hatayspor 1–2 Amed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Hatayspor vs Amed?
Hatayspor vs Amed (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Mersin Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Van Spor Kulübü0
Sarıyer0
Iğdır FK0
Çorum FK2
İstanbulspor0
Bodrum FK1
Esenler Erokspor0
Erzurumspor FK2