Value bet: Erzurumspor FK to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsenler Erokspor to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Esenler Erokspor take on Erzurumspor FK on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Esenler Stadium.
Form guide
Esenler Erokspor's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Çorum FK 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Erzurumspor FK's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Hatayspor 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Esenler Erokspor and 1.4 for Erzurumspor FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esenler Erokspor 39%, draw 23%, Erzurumspor FK 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Erzurumspor FK to win at 3.20 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Erzurumspor FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esenler Erokspor39%fair 2.58 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Erzurumspor FK38%fair 2.61 · @3.20
2.87Expected goals
1.44Esenler Erokspor xG
1.43Erzurumspor FK xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Esenler Erokspor 1.4 – 1.4 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esenler Erokspor to win✗
39%
2.58
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esenler Erokspor / FT Esenler Erokspor✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Form
Esenler Erokspor – last 6
LDWWWW
16 Mar
@ Çorum FK
1–2
L
12 Mar
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Bodrum FK
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
3–0
W
17 Feb
@ İstanbulspor
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
WLWWWW
15 Mar
vs Hatayspor
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ Ümraniyespor
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Manisa F.K.
8–1
W
4 Mar
vs Keçiörengücü
4–2
W
28 Feb
@ Van Spor Kulübü
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Serik Belediyespor
4–0
W
3.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esenler Erokspor and Erzurumspor FK.
What is the prediction for Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
On our numbers Esenler Erokspor have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Erzurumspor FK 38%.
How many goals will there be in Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our predicted score is Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Erzurumspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Esenler Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hatayspor0
Amed3
Çorum FK2