Value bet: Academico Viseu to win @ 2.54 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAcademico Viseu to win43% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 8.84
Farense vs Academico Viseu preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Farense take on Academico Viseu on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Estádio de São Lúis.
Form guide
Farense's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Vizela 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Academico Viseu's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Feirense 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Academico Viseu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Farense and 1.3 for Academico Viseu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Academico Viseu to win at 2.54 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Farense 1–1 Academico Viseu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farense34%fair 2.95 · @2.72
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.05
Academico Viseu43%fair 2.30 · @2.54
2.47Expected goals
1.13Farense xG
1.33Academico Viseu xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Farense 1.1 – 1.3 Academico Viseu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Academico Viseu to win
43%
2.30
2.54 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Academico Viseu / FT Academico Viseu
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
11%
8.84
–
Form
Farense – last 5
WLDWL
19 Apr
@ Vizela
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Feirense
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Chaves
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Academico Viseu – last 6
WLWWLW
17 Apr
vs Feirense
3–0
W
11 Apr
@ Penafiel
3–4
L
21 Mar
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
3–0
W
14 Mar
vs Leixoes
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Chaves
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Maritimo
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Farense and Academico Viseu.
What is the prediction for Farense vs Academico Viseu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Farense vs Academico Viseu?
On our numbers Farense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Academico Viseu 43%.
How many goals will there be in Farense vs Academico Viseu?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farense vs Academico Viseu?
Our predicted score is Farense 1–1 Academico Viseu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Farense vs Academico Viseu?
Farense vs Academico Viseu (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Lúis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
