Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira preview and prediction
The match
Pacos Ferreira travel to Estádio do Lusitânia FC in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 26 April (11:00 WAT) to face Lusitânia Lourosa.
Form guide
Lusitânia Lourosa's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Portimonense 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Pacos Ferreira's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Chaves 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Lusitânia Lourosa and 1.2 for Pacos Ferreira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Pacos Ferreira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lusitânia Lourosa41%fair 2.46 · @2.34
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.05
Pacos Ferreira35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
2.52Expected goals
1.32Lusitânia Lourosa xG
1.20Pacos Ferreira xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.3 – 1.2 Pacos Ferreira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitânia Lourosa to win✓
41%
2.46
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitânia Lourosa / FT Lusitânia Lourosa✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.43
–
Form
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6
LDDLLW
19 Apr
@ Portimonense
2–3
L
13 Apr
vs FC Porto B
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ União de Leiria
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Academico Viseu
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vizela
3–4
L
8 Mar
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
WDLLDL
18 Apr
vs Chaves
4–3
W
10 Apr
@ Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Leixoes
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Oliveirense
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ FC Porto B
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitânia Lourosa and Pacos Ferreira.
What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira?
On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pacos Ferreira 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Pacos Ferreira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira?
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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