Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.88 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.88Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorreense to win ✗65% · @1.88
Double chanceTorreense or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Torreense vs Leixoes preview and prediction
The match
Leixoes travel to Estadio Manuel Marques in the Segunda Liga on Monday 6 April (18:00 WAT) to face Torreense. Torreense are 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Leixoes sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Torreense's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Felgueiras 1932 3–0 away. They average 1.6 scored and 0.0 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leixoes's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Pacos Ferreira 3–2 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Torreense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Torreense and 0.7 for Leixoes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Torreense to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.88, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Torreense 1–0 Leixoes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torreense65%fair 1.54 · @1.88
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.30
Leixoes15%fair 6.65 · @3.95
2.60Expected goals
1.86Torreense xG
0.73Leixoes xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Torreense 1.9 – 0.7 Leixoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torreense to win✗
65%
1.54
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Torreense or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Torreense ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torreense / FT Torreense✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Form
Torreense – last 5
WWWWD
22 Mar
@ Felgueiras 1932
3–0
W
16 Mar
vs Portimonense
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Oliveirense
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Benfica B
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Pacos Ferreira
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Leixoes – last 5
WLLWL
22 Mar
vs Pacos Ferreira
3–2
W
14 Mar
@ Academico Viseu
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs União de Leiria
1–4
L
28 Feb
@ Sporting CP B
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Vizela
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torreense and Leixoes.
Our pick is Torreense to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.88.
Who will win Torreense vs Leixoes?
On our numbers Torreense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leixoes 15%.
How many goals will there be in Torreense vs Leixoes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torreense vs Leixoes?
Our predicted score is Torreense 1–0 Leixoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Torreense vs Leixoes?
Torreense vs Leixoes (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Marques.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
